Uncategorized January 22, 2024

Home Prices Forecast To Climb over the Next 5 Years

Home Prices Forecast To Climb over the Next 5 Years [INFOGRAPHIC]

Some Highlights

  • If you’re worried about what’s next for home prices, know the HPES shows experts are projecting they’ll continue to rise at least through 2028.
  • Based on that forecast, if you bought a $400,000 house this year, experts say it could gain over $72,000 in equity over the next five years.
  • If you’re worried about falling home prices, don’t be. Many experts forecast they’ll keep rising for years to come. If you have questions, let’s connect.
Uncategorized January 22, 2024

Avoid These Common Mistakes After Applying for a Mortgage

Avoid These Common Mistakes After Applying for a Mortgage

If you’re getting ready to buy a home, it’s exciting to jump a few steps ahead and think about moving in and making it your own. But before you get too far down the emotional path, there are some key things to keep in mind after you apply for your mortgage and before you close. Here’s a list of things to remember when you apply for your home loan.

Don’t Deposit Large Sums of Cash

Lenders need to source your money, and cash isn’t easily traceable. Before you deposit any cash into your accounts, discuss the proper way to document your transactions with your loan officer.

Don’t Make Any Large Purchases

It’s not just home-related purchases that could disqualify you from your loan. Any large purchases can be red flags for lenders. People with new debt have higher debt-to-income ratios (how much debt you have compared to your monthly income). Since higher ratios make for riskier loans, borrowers may no longer qualify for their mortgage. Resist the temptation to make any large purchases, even for furniture or appliances.

Don’t Cosign Loans for Anyone

When you cosign for a loan, you’re making yourself accountable for that loan’s success and repayment. With that obligation comes higher debt-to-income ratios as well. Even if you promise you won’t be the one making the payments, your lender will have to count them against you.

Don’t Switch Bank Accounts

Lenders need to source and track your assets. That task is much easier when there’s consistency among your accounts. Before you transfer any money, speak with your loan officer.

Don’t Apply for New Credit

It doesn’t matter whether it’s a new credit card or a new car. When your credit report is run by organizations in multiple financial channels (mortgage, credit card, auto, etc.), it will have an impact on your FICO® score. Lower credit scores can determine your interest rate and possibly even your eligibility for approval.

Don’t Close Any Accounts

Many buyers believe having less available credit makes them less risky and more likely to be approved. This isn’t true. A major component of your score is your length and depth of credit history (as opposed to just your payment history) and your total usage of credit as a percentage of available credit. Closing accounts has a negative impact on both of those parts of your score.

Do Discuss Changes with Your Lender

Be upfront about any changes that occur or you’re expecting to occur when talking with your lender. Blips in income, assets, or credit should be reviewed and executed in a way that ensures your home loan can still be approved. If your job or employment status has changed recently, share that with your lender as well. Ultimately, it’s best to fully disclose and discuss your intentions with your loan officer before you do anything financial in nature.

Bottom Line

You want your home purchase to go as smoothly as possible. Remember, before you make any large purchases, move your money around, or make major life changes, be sure to consult your lender – someone who’s qualified to explain how your financial decisions may impact your home loan.

Mortgage Rates January 22, 2024

What Lower Mortgage Rates Mean for Your Purchasing Power

What Lower Mortgage Rates Mean for Your Purchasing Power

If you want to buy a home, it’s important to know how mortgage rates impact what you can afford and how much you’ll pay each month. Fortunately, rates for 30-year fixed mortgages have come down significantly since the end of October and are currently under 7%, according to Freddie Mac (see graph below):

This recent trend is great news for buyers. As a recent article from Bankrate says:

“The rate cool-off somewhat eases the housing affordability squeeze.”

And according to Edward Seiler, AVP of Housing Economics and Executive Director of the Research Institute for Housing America at the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA):

“MBA expects that affordability conditions will continue to improve as mortgage rates decline . . .”

Here’s a bit more context on how this could help with your plans to buy a home.

How Mortgage Rates Affect Your Search for a Home

Understanding the connection between mortgage rates and your monthly home payment is crucial for your plans to become a homeowner. The chart below illustrates how your ability to afford a home changes when mortgage rates shift. Imagine your budget allows for a monthly payment between $2,400 and $2,500. The green part in the chart shows payments in that range or lower (see chart below):

As you can see, even small changes in rates can affect your budget and the loan amount you can afford.

Get Help from Reliable Experts To Understand Your Budget and Plan Ahead

When you’re looking to buy a home, it’s important to get guidance from a local real estate agent and a trusted lender. They can help you explore different mortgage options, understand what makes mortgage rates go up or down, and how those changes impact you.

By looking at the numbers and the latest data together, then adjusting your strategy based on today’s rates, you’ll be better prepared and ready to buy a home.

Bottom Line

If you’re looking to buy a home, you should know the recent downward trend in mortgage rates is good news for your move. Let’s connect and plan your next steps.

Uncategorized January 22, 2024

Thinking About Buying a Home? Ask Yourself These Questions

Thinking About Buying a Home? Ask Yourself These Questions

If you’re thinking of buying a home this year, you’re probably paying closer attention than normal to the housing market. And you’re getting your information from a variety of channels: the news, social media, your real estate agent, conversations with friends and loved ones, the list goes on and on. Most likely, home prices and mortgage rates are coming up a lot.

Here are the top two questions you need to ask yourself as you make your decision, including the data that helps cut through the noise.

1. Where Do I Think Home Prices Are Heading?

One reliable place you can turn to for information on home price forecasts is the Home Price Expectations Survey from Fannie Mae – a survey of over one hundred economists, real estate experts, and investment and market strategists.

According to the most recent release, the experts are projecting home prices will continue to rise at least through 2028 (see the graph below):

So, why does this matter to you? While the percent of appreciation may not be as high as it was in recent years, what’s important to focus on is that this survey says we’ll see prices rise, not fall, for at least the next 5 years.

And home prices rising, even at a more moderate pace, is good news not just for the market, but for you too. It means, by buying now, your home will likely grow in value, and you should gain home equity in the years ahead. But, if you wait, based on these forecasts, the home will only cost you more later on.

2. Where Do I Think Mortgage Rates Are Heading?

Over the past year, mortgage rates spiked up in response to economic uncertainty, inflation, and more. But there’s an encouraging sign for the market and mortgage rates. Inflation is moderating, and here’s why this is such a big deal if you’re looking to buy a home.

When inflation cools, mortgage rates generally fall in response. That’s exactly what we’ve seen in recent weeks. And, now that the Federal Reserve has signaled they’re pausing their Federal Funds Rate increases and may even cut rates in 2024, experts are even more confident we’ll see mortgage rates come down.

Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at Realtor.comexplains:

. . . mortgage rates will continue to ease in 2024 as inflation improves and Fed rate cuts get closer. . . . a key factor in starting to provide affordability relief to homebuyers.”

As an article from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) says:

Mortgage rates likely have peaked and are now falling from their recent high of nearly 8%. . . . This likely will improve housing affordability and entice more home buyers to return to the market . . .”

No one can say with absolute certainty where mortgage rates will go from here. But the recent decline and the latest decision from the Federal Reserve to stop their rate increases, signals there’s hope on the horizon. While we may see some volatility here and there, affordability should improve as rates continue to ease.

Bottom Line

If you’re thinking about buying a home, you need to know what’s expected with home prices and mortgage rates. While no one can say for certain where they’ll go, making sure you have the latest information can help you make an informed decision. Let’s connect so you can stay up to date on what’s happening and why this is such good news for you.

Uncategorized January 22, 2024

Things To Consider If Your House Didn’t Sell

Things To Consider If Your House Didn’t Sell

If your listing has expired and your house didn’t sell, it’s completely normal to feel a mix of frustration and disappointment. Understandably, you’re probably wondering what may have gone wrong. Here are three questions to think about as you figure out what to do next.

Did You Limit Access to Your House?

One of the biggest mistakes you can make when selling your house is restricting the days and times when potential buyers can tour it. Being flexible with your schedule is important, even though it might feel a bit stressful to drop everything and leave when buyers want to see it. After all, minimal access means minimal exposure to buyers. ShowingTime advises:

“. . . do your best to be as flexible as possible when granting access to your house for showings.”

Sometimes, the most determined buyers might come from far away. Since they’re traveling to see your house, they may not be able to change their plans easily if you only offer limited times for showings. So, try to make your house available as much as you can to accommodate them. It’s simple – if no one’s able to look at it, how will it sell?

Did You Make Your House Stand Out?

When you’re selling your house, the old saying matters: you never get a second chance to make a first impression. Putting in the work to make the exterior of your home look nice is just as important as how you stage it inside. Freshen up your landscaping to boost your home’s curb appeal so you can make an impact upfront. As an article from U.S. News says:

“After all, if people drive by, but aren’t interested enough to walk through the front door, you’ll never sell your house.”

But don’t let that impact stop at the front door. By removing personal items and reducing clutter inside, you give buyers more freedom to picture themselves in the home. Plus, a fresh coat of paint or thorough floor cleaning can work wonders in sprucing up the house for potential buyers.

Did You Price Your House at Market Value?

Setting the right price is key. While it might be tempting to push the price higher to maximize your profit, overpricing your house can actually turn off potential buyers and slow down the selling process. Forbes notes:

“Pricing a home too high could lead to a slower sale or force the seller to drop their price.”

If your house is priced higher than others like it, it may discourage buyers, resulting in increased time on the market. Pay attention to the feedback people give your agent during open houses and showings. If lots of people are saying the same thing, it might be a good idea to think about lowering the price.

For all these insights and more, rely on a trusted real estate agent. A great agent will offer expert advice on relisting your house with effective strategies to get it sold.

Bottom Line

It’s natural to feel disappointed when your listing has expired and your house didn’t sell. Let’s connect to determine what happened, and what changes you should make to get your house back on the market.

My Monthly Market Summary January 5, 2024

Market Summary for the Beginning of 2024

Market Summary for the Beginning of 2024

Here are the basics – the ARMLS numbers for January 1, 2024 compared with January 1, 2023 for all areas & types:

  • Active Listings:14,593 versus 16,298 last year – down 10.5% – and down 8.7% from 15,981 last month
  • Under Contract/Pending Listings: 5,127 versus 5,456 last year – down 6.0% – and down 12.6% from 5,867 last month
  • Monthly Sales: 4,929 versus 5,138 last year – down 4.1% – but up 6.4% from 4,634 last month
  • Monthly Average Sales Price per Sq. Ft.: $284.85 versus $265.90 last year – up 7.1% – but down 1.5% from $289.30 last month
  • Monthly Median Sales Price: $429,990 versus $412,000 last year – up 4.4% – but down 2.1% from $439,000 last month

The market has improved for sellers in some ways since last month. The supply of active listings is down almost 9% since December 1 and down more than 10% from a year ago. It is always good for a seller to have less competition from other homes. The monthly sales count for December was an improvement over November, but is still down from a year ago, when things were already not too good. So, this is neutral for sellers. The pending and under contract counts are downright bad for sellers, down sharply from last month and significantly lower than a year ago.

Considering how much mortgage rates have fallen in the last two months; the numbers can be described as fairly disappointing from a seller’s perspective. Lower mortgage rates are supposed to bring out more buyers. So far that is barely noticeable. From a buyer’s perspective this is good news because they have less competition to worry about.

Prices are still stable, up by more than 7% from this time last year when measured by $/SF, and up 4.4% if measured by median sales price. This is a shade more than the latest rise in the Consumer Price Index. The difference between the two price measurements is caused by the strength in pricing in the luxury market. Median sales prices are dominated by the entry-level and mid-range markets which have been weaker than the top end.

We are still very short of 2024 data to show which way things are heading. Both supply and demand are picking up, as we would always expect in January. Supply has risen 0.5% in the first 3 days while listings under contract are up 3%. This is barely enough data to draw a conclusion, but the indicators are better for sellers than buyers. The contract ratio has risen from 35.13 to 35.98. This is consistent with a neutral, balanced market, but with the trend again moving in favor of sellers.

I would say a case for (very) mild optimism can be made. There is certainly no sign whatsoever of a housing market crash.

What the market needs most now is higher transaction volumes. I do not yet know if that is coming, but to hope for it is legitimate. Source, Cromford Report

Where is housing going this year?   Several experts predict anywhere from -1% to +3% for 2024.  No one can really say with certainty. If the economy has a recession even a slight recession will cause housing to drop more than 1%.  Interest rates need to come down below 6% and homes prices need to come down for much more buyers to qualify.  Many sellers won’t sell because 85% have mortgage rates under 5%.  Supply is low with about 3 months of inventory; 6 months of supply is a balanced market. What will give……..

Go to my website for information and a special feature called “Neighborhood News” “the best way to stay connected to what’s happening in the real estate market in your area”.   Also, you can search real time listings in any area of the market.  Check it out and stay updated with my daily blog and monthly market report that I send out monthly.  My Website–Find Your Dream Home

If you’re considering selling or buying, give me a call to discuss your situation and current market conditions.

The best compliment is a referral to your family and friends!

Happy New Year!  Wishing you and your family a happy, healthy and prosperous new year!

Shawn Keane

shawn.keane@azmoves.com

602.989.3209 Direct

480.291.1600 Office

Uncategorized January 2, 2024

3 Keys To Hitting Your Homeownership Goals in 2024

3 Keys To Hitting Your Homeownership Goals in 2024

If buying or selling a home is your goal for 2024, it’s important to understand today’s housing market, know your why, and work with industry experts to bring your homeownership vision for the new year into focus.

Over the last year, the economy had a big impact on the housing market, and likely on your wallet too. That’s why it’s critical to have a clear picture of not just the market today, but also on what you want out of it when you buy or sell a home. Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at Realtor.comexplains:

The key to making a good decision in this challenging housing market is to be laser focused on what you need now and in the years ahead, so that you can stay in your home long enough that buying is a sound financial decision.

Here are a few things to think through as you define your goals for 2024.

1. Know Your Why

You’re dreaming about making a move for a reason – what is it? No matter what’s happening in the market, there are still many compelling reasons to buy a home today. Your needs may have changed in a way your current house can’t address, or you could be ready to step into homeownership for the first time. Use your why and your motivation as a guidepost in partnership with an expert advisor to make sure your move gives you a lasting sense of accomplishment.

2. Figure Out What Your Next Home Needs To Look Like

You know you want to move, but how would you describe your dream home? The number of homes for sale has grown recently, and that could mean more options to choose from when you buy. But overall housing supply is still lower than more normal years in the market, so you’ll have to work closely with a pro to find what you’re looking for. Just be sure to keep your budget in mind as you balance your wants and needs. The better you understand what’s essential and where you can be flexible, the easier it will be to find a home that’s right for you.

3. Determine if You’re Ready To Buy

Getting clear on your budget and available savings is essential before you get too far into the process. Partnering with a local agent and a lender early is the best way to make sure you’re in a good position to buy. This could include planning how much to save for a down payment, getting pre-approved for a home loan, and assessing your current home equity if you’re selling your existing house.

A Professional Will Guide You Through Every Step of the Process

Buying or selling a home takes expertise to navigate. If that feels a bit overwhelming, that’s normal. Don’t let uncertainty hold you back from your goals this year. A trusted expert will help you bridge that gap and give you the facts and advice you need about today’s housing market.

Bottom Line

Let’s connect to plan how to make your homeownership dreams a reality in 2024.

Uncategorized January 2, 2024

The Benefits of Working With an Agent When You Sell Your House

The Benefits of Working With an Agent When You Sell Your House [INFOGRAPHIC]

Some Highlights

  • When it comes to selling your house, the expertise of a trusted real estate agent can make a big difference.
  • They’ll explain what’s happening today, what that means for you, and how to price and market your house. They’re also skilled negotiators and well versed in the contracts and disclosures involved.
  • Let’s connect so you have expert advice throughout the entire process.
Uncategorized January 2, 2024

What You Need To Know About Saving for a Home in 2024

What You Need To Know About Saving for a Home in 2024

If you’re planning to buy a home, knowing what to budget for and how to save may sound intimidating – but it doesn’t have to be. One way to ease those concerns is to make sure you understand some of the costs you may encounter up front. And to do that, always turn to trusted real estate professionals. They can help you set a plan and take a strategic look at your budget and your process before you even get started.

Here are just a few things experts say you should be thinking about.

1. Down Payment

Saving for your down payment is likely top of mind as you set out to buy a home. But do you know how much you’ll need? While every buyer’s situation is different, there’s a common misconception that putting 20% of the purchase price down is required. An article from the Mortgage Reports explains why that’s not always the case:

“The idea that you have to put 20% down on a house is a myth. . . . The right amount depends on your current savings and your home buying goals.”

To understand your options, partner with trusted real estate professionals to go over the various loan types, down payment assistance programs, and what each one requires. The more you know ahead of time, the easier the process will be.

2. Closing Costs

Make sure you also budget for closing costs, which are a collection of fees and payments made to the various parties involved in your transaction. Bankrate explains:

Closing costs are the fees you pay when finalizing a real estate transaction, whether you’re refinancing a mortgage or buying a new home. These costs can amount to 2 to 5 percent of the mortgage so it’s important to be financially prepared for this expense.”

The best way to understand what you’ll need at the closing table is to work with a trusted lender. They can provide you with answers to the questions you might have.

3. Earnest Money Deposit

If you want to cover all your bases, you can also consider saving for an earnest money deposit (EMD). An EMD is money you pay as a show of good faith when you make an offer on a house. According to Realtor.com, it’s usually between 1% and 2% of the total home price.

This deposit works like a credit. It’s not an added expense – it’s paying a portion of your costs upfront. You’re using some of the money you’ve already saved for your purchase to show the seller you’re committed and serious about buying their house. Realtor.com describes how it works as part of your sale:

It tells the real estate seller you’re in earnest as a buyer . . . Assuming that all goes well and the buyer’s good-faith offer is accepted by the seller, the earnest money funds go toward the down payment and closing costs. In effect, earnest money is just paying more of the down payment and closing costs upfront.”

Keep in mind, an EMD isn’t required, and it doesn’t guarantee your offer will be accepted. It’s important to work with a real estate advisor to understand what’s best for your situation and any specific requirements in your local area. They’ll advise you on what moves you should make so you can make the best possible decisions throughout the buying process.

Bottom Line

When buying a home, being informed about what to save for is key. Let’s connect so you’ll have an expert on your side to answer any questions you have along the way.

My Monthly Market Summary December 20, 2023

Market Summary for the Beginning of December 2023

Hello……

Market Summary for the Beginning of December

Here are the basics – the ARMLS numbers for December 1, 2023 compared with December 1, 2022 for all areas & types:

  • Active Listings : 15,981 versus 19,155 last year – down 17% – but up 4.8% from 15,247 last month
  • Under Contract Listings: 5,867 versus 6,352 last year – down 7.6% – and down 2.7% from 6,028 last month
  • Monthly Sales: 4,616 versus 4,928 last year – down 6.3% – and down 11% from 5,210 last month
  • Monthly Average Sales Price per Sq. Ft.: $288.97 versus $272.29 last year – up 6.1% – but down 2.1% from $295.13 last month
  • Monthly Median Sales Price: $439,000 versus $420,000 last year – up 4.6% – and up 0.9% from $435,000 last month

After rising during October and peaking at an average just over 8% mid-month, mortgage rates declined thereafter and tumbled throughout November. In theory this should have injected some life into housing demand, but there is precious little evidence of this in the numbers above. We have fewer homes under contract than last month and far fewer than a year ago, when we were all depressed about the low demand. Sales counts are also down from last year and last month reaching the unusually low level of 4,616 in November.

One reason for the severe lack of demand may be that home prices are noticeably higher than a year ago, something few people were predicting 12 months ago. Over the last months there were mixed signals. The median sales price grew almost 1% but the average price per square foot dropped by over 2%. This followed a sharp increase the month before. When this happens, it is usually caused by the luxury market. With much lower unit volumes, the luxury market can vary a lot month to month and the effect on the $/SF can be substantial. The luxury market has a negligible effect on the median sales price. The median sales price tends to be strongly influenced by unit volumes at the low end. Despite the weak demand, supply is still below normal which is preventing prices from tumbling. Supply has risen for several months but is now stable again as few people list there homes in December and several take their homes off the market for the holiday season. We anticipate more supply appearing in January.

The new home market continues to outperform the re-sale market. Mortgage rate buy-downs have kept new home demand at a healthy level.

December is not usually a month for us to see a flood of new home buyers, so we anticipate the second half of January will tell us whether buyers see a big difference between mortgage rates around 7% compared with 8%. The last 12 months have been full of surprises, so caution and watching the statistics carefully is still the order of the day.

Go to my website for information and a special feature called “Neighborhood News” “the best way to stay connected to what’s happening in the real estate market in your area”.  Also, you can search real time listings in any area of the market.  Check it out and stay updated with my daily blog and monthly market report that I send out monthly.  My Website–Find Your Dream Home

If you’re considering selling or buying, give me a call to discuss your situation and current market conditions.

The best compliment is a referral to your family and friends!

Merry Christmas, wishing you and family a great New Year!

Shawn Keane

shawn.keane@azmoves.com

602.989.3209 Direct

480.291.1600 Office