Uncategorized April 22, 2024

For Buyers and Sellers by Shawn With Coldwell Banker Realty

Uncategorized April 11, 2024

The Top 5 Reasons You Need a Real Estate Agent when Buying a Home

The Top 5 Reasons You Need a Real Estate Agent when Buying a Home

You may have heard headlines in the news lately about agents in the real estate industry and discussions about their commissions. And if you’re following along, it can be pretty confusing. But here’s the thing you really need to know – expert advice from a trusted real estate agent is priceless, now more than ever. And here’s why.

A real estate agent does a lot more than you may realize.

Your agent is the person who will guide you through every step when buying a home and look out for your best interests along the way. They smooth out a complex process and take away the bulk of the stress of what’s likely your largest purchase ever. And that’s exactly what you want and deserve.

This is at least a part of the reason why a recent survey from Bright MLS found an overwhelming majority of people agree an agent is a key part of the homebuying process (see visual below):

a green and grey pie chart

To give you a better idea of just a few of the top ways agents add value, check out this list.

1. Deliver Industry Experience

The right agent – the professional – will coach you through everything from start to finish. With professional training and expertise, agents know the ins and outs of the buying process. And in today’s complex market, the way real estate transactions are executed is constantly changing, so having the best advice on your side is essential.

2. Provide Expert Local Knowledge

In a world that’s powered by data, a great agent can clarify what it all means, separate fact from fiction, and help you understand how current market trends apply to your unique search. From how quickly homes are selling to the latest listings you don’t want to miss, they can explain what’s happening in your specific local market so you can make a confident decision.

3. Explain Pricing and Market Value

Agents help you understand the latest pricing trends in your area. What’s a home valued at in your market? What should you think about when you’re making an offer? Is this a house that might have issues you can’t see on the surface? No one wants to overpay, so having an expert who really gets true market value for individual neighborhoods is priceless. An offer that’s both fair and competitive in today’s housing market is essential, and a local expert knows how to help you hit the mark.

4. Review Contracts and Fine Print

In a fast-moving and heavily regulated process, agents help you make sense of the necessary disclosures and documents, so you know what you’re signing. Having a professional that’s trained to explain the details could make or break your transaction, and is certainly something you don’t want to try to figure out on your own.

5. Bring Negotiation Expertise

From offer to counteroffer and inspection to closing, there are a lot of stakeholders involved in a real estate transaction. Having someone on your side who knows you and the process makes a world of difference. An agent will advocate for you as they work with each party. It’s a big deal, and you need a partner at every turn to land the best possible outcome.

Bottom Line

Real estate agents are specialists, educators, and negotiators. They adjust to market changes and keep you informed. And keep in mind, every time you make a big decision in your life, especially a financial one, you need an expert on your side.

Expert advice from a trusted professional is priceless. Let’s connect today.

My Monthly Market Summary April 5, 2024

Market Summary for the Beginning of April 2024

Market Summary for the Beginning of April

Here are the basics – the ARMLS numbers for April 1, 2024 compared with April 1, 2023 for all areas & types:

  • Active Listings: 17,025 versus 13,933 last year – up 22% – and up 2.8% from 16,568 last month
  • Pending Listings: 5,371 versus 5,701 last year – down 9.1% – and down 3.5% from 5,371 last month
  • Under Contract Listings (including Pending, CCBS & UCB): 8,601 versus 8,935 last year – down 3.7% – and down 1.1% from 8,693 last month
  • Monthly Sales: 6,718 versus 7,598 last year – down 12% – but up 17% from 5,763 last month
  • Monthly Average Sales Price per Sq. Ft.: $294.42 versus $277.59 last year – up 6.1% – and up 0.4% from $293.31 last month
  • Monthly Median Sales Price: $445,000 versus $419,900 last year – up 6.0% – and up 1.1% from $440,000 last month

Supply continued to grow during March, which is very unusual for this time of year. However, it only grew 2.8% so did not exactly pile up and remains well below normal. Not too much extra competition for sellers and a welcome increase in available choice for buyers.

Demand remains low and the number of pending listings fell 3.5% from last month and stands over 9% below this time last year. Although the March closed listing count was up 17% from February, this is far less of an increase than we would see in a normal year and the monthly total is down as much as 12% from March 2023. Demand has been weak for a long time and is starting to show signs of falling further. The annual sales rate is now down to the lowest it has been since 2009. As we have pointed out many times, demand for new homes remains far stronger than for re-sales.

A one-word summary of the current state of the market would be insipid. Volumes are unusually low, but the market is stable and the level of distress remains close to record lows. There is also little sign of a significant change in the near term so those hoping for a major drop in prices are no doubt indulging in wishful thinking. We are heading slowly toward balanced market conditions so the prospect for a rapid rise in prices is also minimal.

Everyone is waiting to see if mortgage rates might fall and spark some buyer enthusiasm, but all forecasts of these rates have proven to be unreliable so far.

Closings over asking price have edged up seasonally to 17% of March sales so far, but the majority of sales are negotiated down by an average of 2.1% below list.

Builders have been ramping up new single family home permits over the past 7 months, up 32% since June 2023. Over the last 3 months, 73% of new home sales closed have involved builder incentives paid to the buyer, with at least 50% paying $11,500 or more. These incentives typically go towards buying down the mortgage rate and saving the buyer $100’s on their monthly payments.

Spring is statistically the best time to be a seller in Greater Phoenix as buyer activity closes in on its seasonal peak from April through May before slowing down from June through December. This season some areas and price points have been heating up more than others compared to last year, but heat is not all about demand because it’s difficult to increase sales without supply for sale.

For example, areas with the highest percentage increase in contracts over the past 2 months happen to be on the edges of the Valley, such as Black Canyon City, Carefree/Cave Creek, Rio Verde, Sun Lakes, Wittmann, El Mirage, and Avondale. However, with the exception of Avondale, none of these areas feel particularly hot to active sellers because there’s more competing inventory to accommodate the increase in demand.

When supply is taken into account, the hottest areas of Greater Phoenix where supply isn’t quite sufficient for Spring demand gravitate to the south. Namely Avondale, Tolleson, South Phoenix, Ahwatukee, Chandler, Gilbert, and San Tan Valley. While median prices in these areas are still flat, reasonably priced sellers are selling 1-2 weeks faster than the current 4-week median time frame.

“Everything Arizona”  Click Here

Go to my website for up-to-date information and a special feature called “Neighborhood News” “the best way to stay connected to what’s happening in the real estate market in your area”.  See homes that are for sale and recently sold, find out if home sales in your neighborhood are trending up or down, see what homes around you are currently selling for.  Also, you can search real time listings in any area of the market under (Find Your Dream Home.)  Check it out and stay updated with my daily blog and monthly market report that I send out monthly.   Go Here… My Website–Find Your Dream Home

If you’re considering selling or buying, give me a call to discuss your situation and current market conditions.

The best compliment is a referral to your family and friends!

Shawn Keane

shawn.keane@azmoves.com

602.989.3209 Direct

480.291.1600 Office

Uncategorized April 2, 2024

Market Summary for the Beginning of March 2024

Hello,

Market Summary for the Beginning of March

Here are the basics – the ARMLS numbers for March 1, 2024 compared with March 1, 2023 for all areas & types:

  • Active Listings: 16,568 versus 14,739 last year – up 12% – and up 6.4% from 15,574 last month
  • Under Contract Listings: 8,693 versus 9,109 last year – down 4.6% – but up 17% from 7,423 last month
  • Monthly Sales: 5,720 versus 5,706 last year – up 0.2% – and up 29% from 4,435 last month
  • Monthly Average Sales Price per Sq. Ft.: $293.70 versus $271.11 last year – up 8.3% – and up 1.7% from $288.74 last month
  • Monthly Median Sales Price: $440,000 versus $413,000 last year – up 6.5% – and up 2.3% from $430,000 last month

This set of numbers is a little disappointing, but by no means disastrous. On the bright side, closed listing counts for February 2024 managed to exceed February 2023, but only by 0.2%. This is not the recovery in volume that so many are impatiently hoping for. Also brighter, sales pricing performed better than anticipated and was up 1.7% from last month based on the monthly average sales price per square foot. The monthly median sale price rose by $10,000 too. However, the rate at which contracts are getting signatures is lower than we expected and much lower than normal. We are starting March with only 8,693 listings under contract, down 4.6% from this time last year. And last year was well below normal.

The slow contract signing rate means active listing counts have continued to grow steadily, up by 2,000 since the start of the year. Last year we saw a fall of over 1,500 over the same period, because new supply was much scarcer then. It was the decline in supply that allowed us to scoff a year ago when Goldman Sachs published their ludicrous forecast that Arizona home prices would fall to 2008 levels in 2023. That certainly proved they had no idea what they were talking about. Prices are now up 8.3% from this time last year. But I suppose we should not be surprised – Goldman Sachs also had a “conviction buy” rating on Wirecard in 2019, the same company that declared insolvency 9 months later when their auditors finally spotted that over $2 billion in Wirecard’s cash account did not actually exist. But I digress.

There is still no sign of a market crash in the short or medium term, but the market is struggling to gain traction. The healthy amount of incoming supply is not quite matched by a small improvement in demand and the balance between sellers and buyers only favors sellers by a small amount when considering the market as a whole. In many sectors of the market, buyers have more negotiating room, even though, judging by the recent price movements, most of them do not seem to realize this.

At the top end of the market we have a lot of supply.

  • Over $10 million, there are 76 active listings – this is 2.6 years of supply at the current closing rate of 29 per year.
  • Between $5 million and $10 million, there are 221 active listings – this is 16 months of supply at the current closing rate of 164 per year.
  • Between $3 million and $5 million, there are 319 active listings – this is 8 months of supply at the current closing rate of 455 per year.

In certain outlying areas, we also have plenty of active listings. Examples include Casa Grande, Maricopa and Buckeye. But many cities that are closer to Phoenix and are dominated by homes under $1 million still have a tight supply and buyers outnumber sellers in most of these areas.

Market conditions are currently quite stable, so the idea that some sort of collapse is imminent is extremely far-fetched. However conditions can and often do change with little notice, so it is always worth keeping a close eye on the key numbers. At least once a week would be our suggestion.

Go to my website for up-to-date information and a special feature called “Neighborhood News” “the best way to stay connected to what’s happening in the real estate market in your area”.  See homes that are for sale and recently sold, find out if home sales in your neighborhood are trending up or down, see what homes around you are currently selling for.  Also, you can search real time listings in any area of the market under (Find Your Dream Home.)  Check it out and stay updated with my daily blog and monthly market report that I send out monthly.  My Website–Find Your Dream Home

 

If you’re considering selling or buying, give me a call to discuss your situation and current market conditions.

 

The best compliment is a referral to your family and friends!

Shawn Keane
shawn.keane@azmoves.com

602.989.3209 Direct

480.291.1600 Office

Uncategorized April 2, 2024

4 Tips To Make Your Strongest Offer on a Home

4 Tips To Make Your Strongest Offer on a Home

Are you thinking about buying a home soon? If so, you should know today’s market is competitive in many areas because the number of homes for sale is still low – and that’s leading to multiple-offer scenarios. And moving into the peak homebuying season this spring, this is only expected to ramp up more.

Remember these four tips to make your best offer.

1. Partner with a Real Estate Agent

Rely on a real estate agent who can support your goals. As PODS notes:

“Making an offer on a home without an agent is certainly possible, but having a pro by your side gives you a massive advantage in figuring out what to offer on a house.”

Agents are local market experts. They know what’s worked for other buyers in your area and what sellers may be looking for. That advice can be game changing when you’re deciding what offer to bring to the table.

2. Understand Your Budget

Knowing your numbers is even more important right now. The best way to understand your budget is to work with a lender so you can get pre-approved for a home loan. Doing so helps you be more financially confident and shows sellers you’re serious. That gives you a competitive edge. As Investopedia says:

“. . . sellers have an advantage because of intense buyer demand and a limited number of homes for sale; they may be less likely to consider offers without pre-approval letters.”

3. Make a Strong, but Fair Offer

It’s only natural to want the best deal you can get on a home, especially when affordability is tight. However, submitting an offer that’s too low does have some risks. You don’t want to make an offer that’ll be tossed out as soon as it’s received just to see if it sticks. As Realtor.com explains:

“. . . an offer price that’s significantly lower than the listing price, is often rejected by sellers who feel insulted . . . Most listing agents try to get their sellers to at least enter negotiations with buyers, to counteroffer with a number a little closer to the list price. However, if a seller is offended by a buyer or isn’t taking the buyer seriously, there’s not much you, or the real estate agent, can do.”

The expertise your agent brings to this part of the process will help you stay competitive and find a price that’s fair to you and the seller.

4. Trust Your Agent During Negotiations

After you submit your offer, the seller may decide to counter it. When negotiating, it’s smart to understand what matters to the seller. Once you do, being as flexible as you can on things like moving dates or the condition of the house can make your offer more attractive.

Your real estate agent is your partner in navigating these details. Trust them to lead you through negotiations and help you figure out the best plan. As an article from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) explains:

“There are many factors up for discussion in any real estate transaction—from price to repairs to possession date. A real estate professional who’s representing you will look at the transaction from your perspective, helping you negotiate a purchase agreement that meets your needs . . .” 

Bottom Line

In today’s competitive market, let’s work together to find you a home you love and craft a strong offer that stands out.

Uncategorized April 1, 2024

The Best Week To List Your House Is Almost Here

The Best Week To List Your House Is Almost Here

Are you thinking about making a move? If so, now may be the perfect time to start the process. That’s because experts say the best week to list your house is just around the corner.

A recent Realtor.com study looked at housing market trends over the past several years (with the exception of 2020, since it was an unusual year), and found the best week to put your house on the market this year is April 14-20:

“Every year, one week stands out from the rest as that perfect stretch of time when it’s great to be a home seller. This year, the week of April 14–20 is the best time to sell—that is, if sellers want to see lots of interest in their homes, sell quickly, and pocket some extra cash, according to Realtor.com® data.”

Here’s why this matters for you. While the spring market is a great time to sell no matter the week, this may be the peak sweet spot. And if you’ve been putting your plans on the back burner and waiting for the right time to act, this could be the nudge you need to make your move happen. As Hannah Jones, Senior Economic Research Analyst at Realtor.com explains:

“The third week of April brings the best combination of housing market factors for sellers. The best week offers higher buyer demand, lower competition [from other sellers], and fewer price reductions than the typical week of the year.”

But, if you want to get in on the action, you’ll need to move quickly and lean on the pros. Your local real estate agent is the perfect go-to when it comes to figuring out a plan to prep your house and get it on the market.

They’ll be able to offer advice to balance your target listing date with what you need to do from a repair and renovation standpoint. And they can walk you through exactly how to prioritize your list so you know what to tackle first.

For example, if your house is already in good shape, you’ll be able to really focus in on the smaller things that are easy to do and make a big impact. As an article from Investopedia says:

“You won’t have time for any major renovations, so focus on quick repairs to address things that could deter potential buyers.”

Here are some specific examples from that article:

 a graph of a number of homes for sale

Just remember, even if you’re not ready to list within the next couple of weeks, that’s okay. The window of opportunity doesn’t close when this week ends. Spring is the peak homebuying season and it’s still a seller’s market, so you’ll be in the driver’s seat all season long.

Bottom Line

Ready to get the ball rolling? Let’s connect and schedule a time to go over your next steps.

Uncategorized April 1, 2024

Things to Consider When Buying a Home

Things to Consider When Buying a Home

The process of buying a home can be overwhelming at times, but you don’t need to go through it alone. You may be wondering if now is a good time to buy a home … or if interest rates are projected to rise or fall. I put together a free eGuide for you that will answer many of your questions and likely bring up a few things you haven’t even thought about yet. Just click the button below to read it now!

Read Your Guide Now

Uncategorized March 5, 2024

What To Know About Credit Scores Before Buying a Home

What To Know About Credit Scores Before Buying a Home

If you want to buy a home, you should know your credit score is a critical piece of the puzzle when it comes to qualifying for a mortgage. Lenders review your credit to see if you typically make payments on time, pay back debts, and more. Your credit score can also help determine your mortgage rate. An article from US Bank explains:

“A credit score isn’t the only deciding factor on your mortgage application, but it’s a significant one. So, when you’re house shopping, it’s important to know where your credit stands and how to use it to get the best mortgage rate possible.”

That means your credit score may feel even more important to your homebuying plans right now since mortgage rates are a key factor in affordability. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the median credit score in the U.S. for those taking out a mortgage is 770. But that doesn’t mean your credit score has to be perfect. The same article from US Bank explains:

“Your credit score (commonly called a FICO Score) can range from 300 at the low end to 850 at the high end. A score of 740 or above is generally considered very good, but you don’t need that score or above to buy a home.”

Working with a trusted lender is the best way to get more information on how your credit score could factor into your home loan and the mortgage rate you’re able to get. As FICO says:

“While many lenders use credit scores like FICO Scores to help them make lending decisions, each lender has its own strategy, including the level of risk it finds acceptable. There is no single “cutoff score” used by all lenders and there are many additional factors that lenders may use to determine your actual interest rates.”

If you’re looking for ways to improve your score, Experian highlights some things you may want to focus on:

  • Your Payment History: Late payments can have a negative impact by dropping your score. Focus on making payments on time and paying any existing late charges quickly.
  • Your Debt Amount (relative to your credit limits): When it comes to your available credit amount, the less you’re using, the better. Focus on keeping this number as low as possible.
  • Credit Applications: If you’re looking to buy something, don’t apply for additional credit. When you apply for new credit, it could result in a hard inquiry on your credit that drops your score.

Bottom Line

Finding ways to make your credit score better could help you get a lower mortgage rate. If you want to learn more, talk to a trusted lender.

Uncategorized March 5, 2024

The First Step: Getting Pre-Approved for a Mortgage

The First Step: Getting Pre-Approved for a Mortgage [INFOGRAPHIC]

a screenshot of a website

Some Highlights

Uncategorized March 5, 2024

Why We Aren’t Headed for a Housing Crash

Why We Aren’t Headed for a Housing Crash

If you’re holding out hope that the housing market is going to crash and bring home prices back down, here’s a look at what the data shows. And spoiler alert: that’s not in the cards. Instead, experts say home prices are going to keep going up.

Today’s market is very different than it was before the housing crash in 2008. Here’s why.

It’s Harder To Get a Loan Now – and That’s Actually a Good Thing

It was much easier to get a home loan during the lead-up to the 2008 housing crisis than it is today. Back then, banks had different lending standards, making it easy for just about anyone to qualify for a home loan or refinance an existing one.

Things are different today. Homebuyers face increasingly higher standards from mortgage companies. The graph below uses data from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) to show this difference. The lower the number, the harder it is to get a mortgage. The higher the number, the easier it is:

a graph showing a line going up

The peak in the graph shows that, back then, lending standards weren’t as strict as they are now. That means lending institutions took on much greater risk in both the person and the mortgage products offered around the crash. That led to mass defaults and a flood of foreclosures coming onto the market.

There Are Far Fewer Homes for Sale Today, so Prices Won’t Crash

Because there were too many homes for sale during the housing crisis (many of which were short sales and foreclosures), that caused home prices to fall dramatically. But today, there’s an inventory shortage – not a surplus.

The graph below uses data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) and the Federal Reserve to show how the months’ supply of homes available now (shown in blue) compares to the crash (shown in red):

a graph of a number of people

Today, unsold inventory sits at just a 3.0-months’ supply. That’s compared to the peak of 10.4 month’s supply back in 2008. That means there’s nowhere near enough inventory on the market for home prices to come crashing down like they did back then.

People Are Not Using Their Homes as ATMs Like They Did in the Early 2000s

Back in the lead up to the housing crash, many homeowners were borrowing against the equity in their homes to finance new cars, boats, and vacations. So, when prices started to fall, as inventory rose too high, many of those homeowners found themselves underwater.

But today, homeowners are a lot more cautious. Even though prices have skyrocketed in the past few years, homeowners aren’t tapping into their equity the way they did back then.

Black Knight reports that tappable equity (the amount of equity available for homeowners to access before hitting a maximum 80% loan-to-value ratio, or LTV) has actually reached an all-time high:

a graph of a growing graph

That means, as a whole, homeowners have more equity available than ever before. And that’s great. Homeowners are in a much stronger position today than in the early 2000s. That same report from Black Knight goes on to explain:

“Only 1.1% of mortgage holders (582K) ended the year underwater, down from 1.5% (807K) at this time last year.”

And since homeowners are on more solid footing today, they’ll have options to avoid foreclosure. That limits the number of distressed properties coming onto the market. And without a flood of inventory, prices won’t come tumbling down.

Bottom Line

While you may be hoping for something that brings prices down, that’s not what the data tells us is going to happen. The most current research clearly shows that today’s market is nothing like it was last time.